Where and when is Progresso vs Seravezza played?

Progresso vs Seravezza is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Progresso vs Seravezza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 4Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Progresso, Castel Maggiore

Progresso

Seravezza

The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresso vs Seravezza?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Progresso (1,682) and Seravezza (1,779).

Progresso win33 %

Draw30 %

Seravezza win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresso have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Seravezza have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sant'Angelo(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Lentigione(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Correggese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 2, 2026	Tuttocuoio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D

Seravezza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Pistoiese(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Prato(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026	Tau Altopascio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	San Donato Tavarnelle(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Foligno Calcio(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Progresso win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Seravezza win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2022	Seravezza 3-1 Progresso	Serie D - Girone D
Nov 7, 2021	Progresso 0-1 Seravezza	Serie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Progresso on Mar 27, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Progresso	1.0	1.3	3	7/15	6/15
Seravezza	1.1	0.9	5	8/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Seravezza	34	15	12	7	42	29	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresso vs Seravezza?: The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Progresso.
Where and when is Progresso vs Seravezza played?: Progresso vs Seravezza is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Progresso, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.