Serrano RJ vs Goytacaz: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Atílio Marotti, Petrópolis, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Goytacaz the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Serrano RJ. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Serrano RJ vs Goytacaz?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Serrano RJ (1,617) and Goytacaz (1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Serrano RJ have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Goytacaz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | América RJ(away) | 0-5 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 0-3 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(away) | 2-3 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Resende(away) | 0-0 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | América RJ(away) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | América RJ(home) | 0-3 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Macaé(home) | 4-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 2-1 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Serrano RJ win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Goytacaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2023 | Goytacaz 2-2 Serrano RJ | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Serrano RJ 1-0 Goytacaz | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 4, 2020 | Serrano RJ 1-1 Goytacaz | Carioca - 2 |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Goytacaz 2-0 Serrano RJ | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Goytacaz vs Serrano RJ on Oct 25, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Serrano RJ score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Goytacaz score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serrano RJ | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Goytacaz | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Serrano RJ vs Goytacaz?
- The Footlab model makes Goytacaz the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Serrano RJ.
- Where and when is Serrano RJ vs Goytacaz played?
- Serrano RJ vs Goytacaz is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Atílio Marotti, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.