Artsul vs Campo Grande: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, Nova Iguaçu, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Artsul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Artsul vs Campo Grande?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Artsul (1,607) and Campo Grande (1,646).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Artsul have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Campo Grande have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Serrano RJ(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Paduano(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Artsul win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Campo Grande win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Artsul 1-2 Campo Grande | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Artsul vs Campo Grande on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Artsul score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Campo Grande score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artsul | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Campo Grande | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Artsul sit 9th in Carioca - 2 (13 points from 11 matches) and Campo Grande sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Campo Grande | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Artsul vs Campo Grande?
- The Footlab model makes Campo Grande the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Artsul.
- Where and when is Artsul vs Campo Grande played?
- Artsul vs Campo Grande is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nivaldo Pereira, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.