Macaé vs Audax Rio: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, Macaé, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Macaé the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Audax Rio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macaé vs Audax Rio?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Macaé (1,554) and Audax Rio (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macaé have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Audax Rio have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-2 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Americano Campos(home) | 0-0 | Copa Rio |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-4 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(away) | 2-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(away) | 1-2 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Resende(home) | 2-0 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | CFRJ / Maricá(away) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Pérolas Negras(home) | 0-1 | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Americano Campos(away) | 1-3 | Carioca A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Macaé win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Audax Rio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | Audax Rio 6-0 Macaé | Carioca A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Macaé score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Audax Rio score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macaé | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Audax Rio | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macaé vs Audax Rio?
- The Footlab model makes Macaé the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Audax Rio.
- Where and when is Macaé vs Audax Rio played?
- Macaé vs Audax Rio is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Claúdio Moacir de Azevedo, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.