Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco: result 1-0 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 11Kick-off on November 17, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Jogos Dr. Marques dos Santos, Sertã
Full time
What was the result of Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Sertanense won 1-0 on November 17, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 77′C. KpanSertanense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sertanense have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Benfica Castelo Branco have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 3, 2019 | União Santarém(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Caldas(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Águeda(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Praiense(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 26, 2019 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Loures(away) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Caldas(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 5, 2019 | União Santarém(away) | 3-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Sertanense score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sertanense | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sertanense sit 11th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (1 points from 2 matches) and Benfica Castelo Branco sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Sertanense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy