Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, Sestri Levante
The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Borgosesia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia?
Sestri Levante starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,748 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sestri Levante have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Borgosesia have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sampdoria U20(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genoa U20(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Asti(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Chieri(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Vado(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Alcione(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lavagnese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Bra(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Sestri Levante win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Borgosesia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Sestri Levante 4-2 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 21, 2022 | Borgosesia 3-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Borgosesia 0-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Sestri Levante 0-2 Borgosesia | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sestri Levante score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Borgosesia score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sestri Levante | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Borgosesia | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia?
- The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Borgosesia.
- Where and when is Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia played?
- Sestri Levante vs Borgosesia is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sivori, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.