Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,727) and Sestri Levante (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sampdoria U20(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genoa U20(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Asti(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Celle Varazze win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sestri Levante win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze 1-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sestri Levante 3-1 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sestri Levante 3-0 Celle Varazze | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 9th in Serie D - Girone A (44 points from 34 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 54 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 47 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante played?
- Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.