Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celle Varazze. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sestri Levante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,550 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Celle Varazze (1,675) and Sestri Levante (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celle Varazze
Not enough data to predict the Celle Varazze lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celle Varazze have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bra(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ligorna(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Celle Varazze win, 1 draw, 2 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sestri Levante 1-1 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze 1-0 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sestri Levante 3-1 Celle Varazze | Serie D - Girone A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sestri Levante 3-0 Celle Varazze | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celle Varazze score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celle Varazze | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celle Varazze sit 18th in Serie D - Girone A (1 point from 7 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sestri Levante | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Celle Varazze | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
A question about Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sestri Levante the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Celle Varazze.
- Where and when is Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante played?
- Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.