Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SK Sevastopol', Sevastopol'
The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Shahter Taganrog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sevastopol (1,832) and Shahter Taganrog (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevastopol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Shahter Taganrog have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Izberbash(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sevastopol win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Shahter Taganrog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog 0-0 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Shahter Taganrog vs Sevastopol on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevastopol score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shahter Taganrog score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Shahter Taganrog | 2.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevastopol sit 2nd in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and Shahter Taganrog sit 1st (45 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shahter Taganrog | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 45 |
| 2 | Sevastopol | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog?
- The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Shahter Taganrog.
- Where and when is Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog played?
- Sevastopol vs Shahter Taganrog is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SK Sevastopol', in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.