Druzhba vs Pobeda: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, Maykop
The Footlab AI model makes Druzhba the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pobeda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Druzhba wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Druzhba vs Pobeda?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Druzhba (1,690) and Pobeda (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Druzhba vs Pobeda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Druzhba
Not enough data to predict the Druzhba lineup.
Pobeda
4-3-3- 9I. Vagabov
- 29A. Avagumyan
- 7R. Salimov
- 25M. Azarenkov
- 8Mutaalim Magomedov
- 37A. Temukov
- 4I. Yamalavov
- 33R. Khalimbekov
- 15A. Abdulaev
- 19S. Kurbanov
- 16A. Sultanaliev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Druzhba have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pobeda have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Izberbash(home) | 4-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Druzhba wins, 0 draws, 2 Pobeda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pobeda 0-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Druzhba 1-2 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 3, 2025 | Pobeda 0-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Pobeda 0-1 Druzhba | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Druzhba 1-2 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Druzhba score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pobeda score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Druzhba | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pobeda | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Druzhba sit 9th in Second League - Group 1 (27 points from 20 matches) and Pobeda sit 5th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | Druzhba | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 27 |
A question about Druzhba vs Pobeda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Druzhba vs Pobeda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Druzhba the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Pobeda.
- Where and when is Druzhba vs Pobeda played?
- Druzhba vs Pobeda is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Adygeyskiy Respublikanskiy Stadion Druzhba, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.