Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nart, Cherkessk
The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Astrakhan. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Nart Cherkessk (1,722) and Astrakhan (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nart Cherkessk have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Astrakhan have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 3-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nart Cherkessk win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Astrakhan 1-1 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Astrakhan 2-2 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk 1-1 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Nart Cherkessk 2-0 Astrakhan | Second League - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Astrakhan 3-0 Nart Cherkessk | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Astrakhan vs Nart Cherkessk on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nart Cherkessk score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Astrakhan score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nart Cherkessk | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Astrakhan | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nart Cherkessk sit 7th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 19 matches) and Astrakhan sit 10th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nart Cherkessk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 16 | 28 |
| 10 | Astrakhan | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Nart Cherkessk the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Astrakhan.
- Where and when is Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan played?
- Nart Cherkessk vs Astrakhan is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nart, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.