Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Spartak, Nal'chik
The Footlab model makes Spartak Nalchik the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dynamo Makhachkala II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
Spartak Nalchik starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (1,630 vs 1,377).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Nalchik have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Dynamo Makhachkala II have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 3-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(home) | 0-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyzyltash(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lugansk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rostov II(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Spartak Nalchik win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dynamo Makhachkala II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 1-1 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 0-1 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 2-3 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Spartak Nalchik 2-0 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Dynamo Makhachkala II 0-2 Spartak Nalchik | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jun 24, 2024 | Spartak Nalchik 2-0 Dynamo Makhachkala II | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Makhachkala II vs Spartak Nalchik on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Nalchik score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Makhachkala II score 0.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Nalchik | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala II | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Nalchik sit 8th in Second League - Group 1 (28 points from 18 matches) and Dynamo Makhachkala II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Nalchik | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Nalchik the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Dynamo Makhachkala II.
- Where and when is Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II played?
- Spartak Nalchik vs Dynamo Makhachkala II is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Spartak, in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.