SFC Minerva vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Secante, Alumbres
The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SFC Minerva vs Santomera?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate SFC Minerva (1,694) and Santomera (1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SFC Minerva have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Santomera have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | El Palmar(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 SFC Minerva win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Santomera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | SFC Minerva 1-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Santomera 3-1 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | SFC Minerva 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Santomera 0-0 SFC Minerva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: SFC Minerva vs Santomera on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFC Minerva | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Santomera | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SFC Minerva sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (44 points from 34 matches) and Santomera sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SFC Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 39 | 44 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 64 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SFC Minerva vs Santomera?
- The Footlab model makes SFC Minerva the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Santomera.
- Where and when is SFC Minerva vs Santomera played?
- SFC Minerva vs Santomera is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Secante, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027El PalmarvsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 10, 2027Los GarresvsAlgar
- Jan 10, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 10, 2027Bala AzulvsSan Javier
- Jan 10, 2027AlcantarillavsMazarrón FC
- Jan 10, 2027Unión MolinensevsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 10, 2027Águilas IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 10, 2027Santa CruzvsCartagena LU II