El Palmar vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, El Palmar
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Palmar vs Olímpico Totana?
Olímpico Totana starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Palmar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Palmar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Olímpico Totana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Olímpico Totana 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | El Palmar 1-1 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Olímpico Totana 1-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 27, 2021 | El Palmar 1-1 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Olímpico Totana 0-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 4, 2019 | El Palmar 1-0 Olímpico Totana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Olímpico Totana vs El Palmar on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Palmar sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Olímpico Totana sit 4th (58 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Palmar vs Olímpico Totana?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is El Palmar vs Olímpico Totana played?
- El Palmar vs Olímpico Totana is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal El Palmar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027Los GarresvsAlgar
- Jan 10, 2027SFC MinervavsSantomera
- Jan 10, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 10, 2027Bala AzulvsSan Javier
- Jan 10, 2027AlcantarillavsMazarrón FC
- Jan 10, 2027Unión MolinensevsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 10, 2027Águilas IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 10, 2027Santa CruzvsCartagena LU II