Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera played?

UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde

UCAM Murcia II

Santomera

The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Santomera. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera?

UCAM Murcia II starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,687).

UCAM Murcia II win67 %

Draw19 %

Santomera win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Santomera have 4, 0 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UCAM Murcia II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Águilas II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Muleño(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Mazarrón FC(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	El Palmar(away)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Santomera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cieza(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Olímpico Totana(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Cartagena LU II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 25, 2026	Real Murcia II(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano II(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 UCAM Murcia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Santomera win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Santomera 2-4 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 9, 2025	UCAM Murcia II 2-2 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Feb 9, 2025	Santomera 3-1 UCAM Murcia II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 29, 2024	UCAM Murcia II 5-0 Santomera	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Santomera vs UCAM Murcia II on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
UCAM Murcia II	2.3	1.3	3	11/15	9/15
Santomera	1.1	2.1	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UCAM Murcia II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Santomera sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	UCAM Murcia II	34	13	16	5	55	37	55
15	Santomera	34	8	8	18	38	64	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera?: The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Santomera.
Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera played?: UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.