UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde
The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Santomera. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera?
On Elo ratings, UCAM Murcia II has 1,834 points and Santomera 1,748.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UCAM Murcia II
Not enough data to predict the UCAM Murcia II lineup.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Santomera have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 UCAM Murcia II wins, 1 draw, 2 Santomera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Santomera 2-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Santomera 2-4 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Santomera 3-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | UCAM Murcia II 5-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs UCAM Murcia II on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCAM Murcia II score 2.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCAM Murcia II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Santomera sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
A question about UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera?
- The Footlab AI model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Santomera.
- Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera played?
- UCAM Murcia II vs Santomera is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027El PalmarvsMazarrón FC
- Jan 17, 2027Los GarresvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 17, 2027SFC MinervavsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 17, 2027Bala AzulvsOlímpico Totana
- Jan 17, 2027AlcantarillavsÁguilas II
- Jan 17, 2027Unión MolinensevsCartagena LU II
- Jan 17, 2027AlgarvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 17, 2027Santa CruzvsSan Javier