Los Garres vs Algar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Algar the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Algar wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Algar?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Los Garres (1,615) and Algar (1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Garres vs Algar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 10:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Algar have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Algar | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Garres sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Algar sit 16th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 | Algar | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Los Garres vs Algar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Algar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Algar the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Algar played?
- Los Garres vs Algar is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 10, 2027SFC MinervavsSantomera
- Jan 10, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsBullas Deportivo
- Jan 10, 2027Bala AzulvsSan Javier
- Jan 10, 2027AlcantarillavsMazarrón FC
- Jan 10, 2027Unión MolinensevsBalsicas Atlético
- Jan 10, 2027Águilas IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Jan 10, 2027Santa CruzvsCartagena LU II