Where and when is Los Garres vs Algar played?

Los Garres vs Algar is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Los Garres vs Algar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia

Los Garres

Algar

The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Garres vs Algar?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Los Garres (1,580) and Algar (1,594).

Los Garres win42 %

Draw29 %

Algar win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Algar have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Garres
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2025	Elche(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025	Manises(home)	2-0	Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025	Manises(away)	0-2	Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022	UD Caravaca(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Los Garres	0.5	2.3	1	5/15	8/15
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Algar?: The Footlab model makes Los Garres the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Algar.
Where and when is Los Garres vs Algar played?: Los Garres vs Algar is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.