Match

SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV FreibergKaiserslautern II

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kaiserslautern II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,029) and Kaiserslautern II (2,002).

SGV Freiberg win43 %
Draw23 %
Kaiserslautern II win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kaiserslautern II have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs
Kaiserslautern II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC Astoria Walldorf(away)3-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-5Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bonner SC(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 SGV Freiberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kaiserslautern II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II 0-5 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Kaiserslautern II vs SGV Freiberg on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaiserslautern II score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15
Kaiserslautern II2.41.368/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Kaiserslautern II sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
16Kaiserslautern II3021382

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kaiserslautern II.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II played?
SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SGV Freiberg and Kaiserslautern II

Ready to know everything about football?