SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kaiserslautern II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,029) and Kaiserslautern II (2,002).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kaiserslautern II have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(away) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 SGV Freiberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kaiserslautern II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II 0-5 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Kaiserslautern II vs SGV Freiberg on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kaiserslautern II score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Kaiserslautern II | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Kaiserslautern II sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Kaiserslautern II | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Kaiserslautern II.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Kaiserslautern II is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsFC 08 Homburg
- Nov 28, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsKickers Offenbach
- Nov 28, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsStuttgarter Kickers
- Nov 28, 2026TSV SteinbachvsSV Sandhausen
- Nov 28, 2026Freiburg IIvsVfR Aalen
- Nov 28, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsEintracht Trier
- Nov 28, 2026VfR MannheimvsFSV Frankfurt
- Nov 28, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsHessen Kassel