FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for FC 08 Homburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If SGV Freiberg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate FC 08 Homburg (2,012) and SGV Freiberg (2,063).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC 08 Homburg
Not enough data to predict the FC 08 Homburg lineup.
SGV Freiberg
Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(away) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC 08 Homburg wins, 0 draws, 4 SGV Freiberg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 3-0 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 4, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 1-2 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 25, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 26, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 3, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 0-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs FC 08 Homburg on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC 08 Homburg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC 08 Homburg sit 7th in Regionalliga - SudWest (24 points from 15 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (31 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 36 | 14 | 31 |
| 7 | FC 08 Homburg | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 24 |
A question about FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for FC 08 Homburg.
- Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg played?
- FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026SV SandhausenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Dec 5, 2026VfR AalenvsTSV Steinbach
- Dec 5, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Dec 5, 2026Eintracht TriervsVfR Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Dec 5, 2026Hessen KasselvsFreiburg II
- Dec 5, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Dec 5, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsEintracht Frankfurt II