Freiburg II vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs VfR Aalen?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,917) and VfR Aalen (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Freiburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 VfR Aalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen 1-1 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 20, 2021 | VfR Aalen 1-3 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Freiburg II 4-0 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Freiburg II 2-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs Freiburg II on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs VfR Aalen?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs VfR Aalen played?
- Freiburg II vs VfR Aalen is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsFC 08 Homburg
- Nov 28, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsKickers Offenbach
- Nov 28, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsStuttgarter Kickers
- Nov 28, 2026TSV SteinbachvsSV Sandhausen
- Nov 28, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsEintracht Trier
- Nov 28, 2026SGV FreibergvsKaiserslautern II
- Nov 28, 2026VfR MannheimvsFSV Frankfurt
- Nov 28, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsHessen Kassel