SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for VfR Aalen. The most likely score is 1-1. If SGV Freiberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,093) and VfR Aalen (2,072).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SGV Freiberg
Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.
VfR Aalen
Not enough data to predict the VfR Aalen lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg wins, 1 draw, 2 VfR Aalen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | VfR Aalen 2-3 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jan 24, 2026 | VfR Aalen 1-3 SGV Freiberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 18, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 3-1 VfR Aalen | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Nov 11, 2023 | VfR Aalen 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Feb 25, 2023 | VfR Aalen 0-0 SGV Freiberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 26, 2022 | VfR Aalen 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 2.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (26 points from 12 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 2nd (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | VfR Aalen | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 24 |
A question about SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen?
- The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for VfR Aalen.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen played?
- SGV Freiberg vs VfR Aalen is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsEintracht Trier
- Mar 27, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsSV Sandhausen
- Mar 27, 2027TSV SteinbachvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Mar 27, 2027Freiburg IIvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Mar 27, 2027Hessen KasselvsFC 08 Homburg
- Mar 27, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Mar 27, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsFSV Frankfurt
- Mar 27, 2027VfR MannheimvsFC Astoria Walldorf