Where and when is VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg played?

VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)CENTUS ARENA, Aalen

VfR Aalen

SGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfR Aalen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate VfR Aalen (1,971) and SGV Freiberg (2,031).

VfR Aalen win35 %

Draw24 %

SGV Freiberg win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Aalen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfR Aalen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	TSV Steinbach(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026	Freiburg II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 26, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

SGV Freiberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	1-6	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfR Aalen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SGV Freiberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	VfR Aalen 1-3 SGV Freiberg	Friendlies Clubs
May 18, 2024	SGV Freiberg 3-1 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest
Nov 11, 2023	VfR Aalen 2-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Feb 25, 2023	VfR Aalen 0-0 SGV Freiberg	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 26, 2022	VfR Aalen 2-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 6, 2022	SGV Freiberg 1-2 VfR Aalen	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
VfR Aalen	2.2	1.0	6	8/15	9/15
SGV Freiberg	1.7	2.1	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfR Aalen sit 15th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SGV Freiberg	3	2	1	0	8	0	7
15	VfR Aalen	3	0	2	1	2	5	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg?: The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfR Aalen.
Where and when is VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg played?: VfR Aalen vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at CENTUS ARENA, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.