Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Sligo Rovers. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
Shamrock Rovers starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,773 vs 1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shamrock Rovers have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sligo Rovers have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-3 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waterford(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kerry(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Derry City(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dundalk(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Shamrock Rovers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sligo Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 1-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sligo Rovers 0-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 1-2 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Sligo Rovers 2-2 Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division |
| May 5, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Sligo Rovers | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Sligo Rovers vs Shamrock Rovers on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shamrock Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sligo Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sligo Rovers | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shamrock Rovers sit 1st in Premier Division (54 points from 27 matches) and Sligo Rovers sit 10th (23 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 54 |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 43 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 19 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 45 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Shamrock Rovers the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Sligo Rovers.
- Where and when is Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers played?
- Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers is played on October 23, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Tallaght Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.