Bohemians vs Shelbourne: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Dalymount Park, Dublin
The Footlab model makes Bohemians the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Shelbourne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Bohemians (1,710) and Shelbourne (1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bohemians have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Shelbourne have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Derry City(home) | 5-3 | Premier Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 4-0 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Waterford(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bohemians win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Shelbourne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Shelbourne 0-3 Bohemians | Premier Division |
| May 4, 2026 | Bohemians 2-2 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Shelbourne 0-0 Bohemians | Premier Division |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bohemians 2-2 Shelbourne | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bohemians 2-3 Shelbourne | Premier Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Shelbourne 2-2 Bohemians | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Shelbourne vs Bohemians on Jun 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bohemians score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shelbourne score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Shelbourne | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bohemians sit 3rd in Premier Division (47 points from 28 matches) and Shelbourne sit 5th (34 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bohemians | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 47 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 38 | 34 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 29 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
- The Footlab model makes Bohemians the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Shelbourne.
- Where and when is Bohemians vs Shelbourne played?
- Bohemians vs Shelbourne is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Dalymount Park, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.