Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz: prediction and stats
CupaRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena, Tiraspol
The Footlab AI model makes Sheriff Tiraspol the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for Congaz. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,949 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz?
Sheriff Tiraspol is a heavy favourite: 1,725 Elo points against 1,173, a 553-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheriff Tiraspol
4-2-3-1- 19J. Asprilla
- 77J. Pineda
- 10V. Fratea
- 24D. Forov
- 26D. Klas
- 76A. Përgjoni
- 35B. Fomba
- 2Mamoutou Ouedraogo
- 29S. Magassouba
- 15B. Ciss
- 1E. Tîmbur
Congaz
Not enough data to predict the Congaz lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheriff Tiraspol have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Congaz have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sireți(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dacia-Buiucani(away) | 5-2 | Super Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CSF Bălți(home) | 7-0 | Super Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Milsami Orhei(away) | 1-0 | Super Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Petrocub(home) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Iskra(away) | 1-4 | Cupa |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Speranis Nisporeni(home) | 0-3 | Cupa |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Saxan(home) | 1-9 | Cupa |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Socol Copceac(away) | 2-2 | Cupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Sheriff Tiraspol score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Congaz score 1.6 and concede 4.0. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 2.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Congaz | 1.6 | 4.0 | 0 | 5/7 | 7/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sheriff Tiraspol the favourite at 81%, against 11% for a draw and 8% for Congaz.
- Where and when is Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz played?
- Sheriff Tiraspol vs Congaz is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena, in the Cupa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.