Zimbru vs Oguzsport: prediction and stats
CupaRound of 16Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
The Footlab AI model makes Zimbru the favourite at 87%, against 8% for a draw and 5% for Oguzsport. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zimbru vs Oguzsport?
Zimbru is a heavy favourite: 1,670 Elo points against 1,206, a 464-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zimbru vs Oguzsport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zimbru
4-3-3- 14R. Rosario
- 30A. Macriţchii
- 99A. Betivu
- 7Caio Dantas
- 8Matteo Amoroso
- 24T. Ceijas
- 35N. Zolotov
- 23Marcello
- 4C. Gonta
- 3V. Boico
- 88I. Dokić
Oguzsport
Not enough data to predict the Oguzsport lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zimbru have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Oguzsport have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Milsami Orhei(away) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Petrocub(away) | 1-1 | Super Liga |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dacia-Buiucani(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Politehnica UTM(home) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(home) | 2-2 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Vulturii Cutezători(home) | 2-1 | Cupa |
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbru score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oguzsport score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 87% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbru | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Oguzsport | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Zimbru vs Oguzsport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zimbru vs Oguzsport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zimbru the favourite at 87%, against 8% for a draw and 5% for Oguzsport.
- Where and when is Zimbru vs Oguzsport played?
- Zimbru vs Oguzsport is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Zimbru, in the Cupa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 87% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.