Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-4 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Azor
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsDimona
- Sep 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Hadera