Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemFC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem?

FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,644).

Nordia Jerusalem win22 %
Draw21 %
FC Jerusalem win57 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
FC Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Dimona(home)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Nordia Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)5-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 20, 2026Nordia Jerusalem 1-2 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Oct 17, 2025FC Jerusalem 4-2 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Jan 10, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 3-1 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 13, 2024FC Jerusalem 0-2 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
FC Jerusalem2.11.339/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Jerusalem221147452937
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and FC Jerusalem

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