Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-2 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 4-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 3-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 0-2 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs FC Jerusalem is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Azor
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 19, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsDimona
- Sep 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Hadera