Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yavne Municipal Stadium, Yavne
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Yavne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Herzliya have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Maccabi Yavne win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Herzliya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| May 8, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-4 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| May 2, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 3-1 Maccabi Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Maccabi Yavne 0-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Yavne sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya played?
- Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yavne Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Sderot
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsBeitar Yavne
- Sep 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Azor
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 19, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 19, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsDimona
- Sep 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Hadera