Shkendija vs Struga: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ecolog Arena, Tetovo
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Struga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkendija vs Struga?
Shkendija starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkendija have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Struga have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 15, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shkendija win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Struga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Shkendija 3-1 Struga | First League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Struga 2-2 Shkendija | Cup |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Shkendija 2-0 Struga | First League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Struga 1-1 Shkendija | First League |
| May 4, 2025 | Struga 1-1 Shkendija | First League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Struga 1-1 Shkendija | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Shkendija score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Struga score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Struga | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkendija sit 1st in First League (9 points from 3 matches) and Struga sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Struga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkendija vs Struga?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Struga.
- Where and when is Shkendija vs Struga played?
- Shkendija vs Struga is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ecolog Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.