Match

Yate Town vs Sholing: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire

Yate TownSholing

The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sholing. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yate Town vs Sholing?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,774) and Sholing (1,802).

Yate Town win41 %
Draw28 %
Sholing win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sholing have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yate Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bracknell Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chippenham Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gosport Borough(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Leamington(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Sholing
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chertsey Town(home)2-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanwell Town(away)0-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Poole Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Bath City(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 25, 2026Folkestone Invicta(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Yate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sholing win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Sholing 2-0 Yate TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Aug 9, 2025Yate Town 0-0 SholingNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Sholing vs Yate Town on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yate Town1.51.148/157/15
Sholing1.31.368/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Sholing sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Yate Town4220538
17Sholing4112464

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Sholing?
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sholing.
Where and when is Yate Town vs Sholing played?
Yate Town vs Sholing is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yate Town and Sholing

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