Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Busko-Zdroj

The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714) and Busko-Zdroj (1,715).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win42 %

Draw24 %

Busko-Zdroj win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Busko-Zdroj win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj 1-4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Busko-Zdroj vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj?: The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Busko-Zdroj.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Busko-Zdroj is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.