Star Starachowice vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Hetman Zamosc?
Star Starachowice starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hetman Zamosc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc 3-0 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Star Starachowice on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Star Starachowice vs Hetman Zamosc is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsMoravia Morawica
- Feb 27, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsBusko-Zdroj
- Feb 27, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsKSZO 1929
- Feb 27, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsCzarni Połaniec
- Feb 27, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsSokół Kolb.
- Feb 27, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsWisła Kraków II
- Feb 27, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsNaprzód
- Feb 27, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsJarosław