Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?

Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Busko-Zdroj

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Busko-Zdroj (1,715) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,792).

Busko-Zdroj win30 %

Draw25 %

Podlasie Biała Podlaska win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Jarosław(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Busko-Zdroj win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-1 Busko-Zdroj	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Busko-Zdroj on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8
Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1.9	1.1	4	9/15	7/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	5	2	1	2	5	5	7
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?: The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Busko-Zdroj.
Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?: Busko-Zdroj vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.