Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica played?

Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 20Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Chełm

Chełmianka Chełm

Moravia Morawica

The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica?

Chełmianka Chełm starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,929 vs 1,711).

Chełmianka Chełm win66 %

Draw20 %

Moravia Morawica win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chełmianka Chełm have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Moravia Morawica have 2, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chełmianka Chełm
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Naprzód(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Moravia Morawica(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4

Moravia Morawica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Naprzód(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chełmianka Chełm win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Moravia Morawica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Moravia Morawica 0-3 Chełmianka Chełm	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Moravia Morawica vs Chełmianka Chełm on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chełmianka Chełm score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chełmianka Chełm	2.1	0.9	8	7/15	8/15
Moravia Morawica	1.1	2.7	1	3/9	6/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chełmianka Chełm sit 1st in III Liga - Group 4 (15 points from 5 matches) and Moravia Morawica sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chełmianka Chełm	5	5	0	0	10	1	15
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica?: The Footlab model makes Chełmianka Chełm the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica played?: Chełmianka Chełm vs Moravia Morawica is played on February 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.