Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc played?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Hetman Zamosc

The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,714 vs 1,523).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win41 %

Draw25 %

Hetman Zamosc win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Hetman Zamosc
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Star Starachowice(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hetman Zamosc win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc 1-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Jun 12, 2021	Hetman Zamosc 0-3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Nov 14, 2020	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-1 Hetman Zamosc	III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Hetman Zamosc vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Aug 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15
Hetman Zamosc	1.3	2.4	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc?: The Footlab model makes Siarka Tarnobrzeg the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hetman Zamosc.
Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc played?: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Hetman Zamosc is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.