Simba vs 15 de Agosto: prediction and stats
CAF Champions League2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 71%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for 15 de Agosto. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs 15 de Agosto?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 2,014 Elo points against 1,531, a 483-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs 15 de Agosto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 21K. S. Haruna
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 5A. Mligo
- 28H. Abel
15 de Agosto
Not enough data to predict the 15 de Agosto lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; 15 de Agosto have 3, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fomboni Club(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fomboni Club(home) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Foresters(home) | 4-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; 15 de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| 15 de Agosto | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 2/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Simba vs 15 de Agosto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs 15 de Agosto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 71%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for 15 de Agosto.
- Where and when is Simba vs 15 de Agosto played?
- Simba vs 15 de Agosto is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026EL Merriekh Bentiu0-1Pyramids FC
- Oct 16, 2026APR0-1Zamalek SC
- Oct 17, 2026CFFA0-4Young Africans
- Oct 17, 2026TP Mazembe1-1Club Africain
- Oct 17, 2026African Stars0-1Orlando Pirates
- Oct 17, 2026Star Sport Academy0-2Renaissance Berkane
- Oct 17, 2026San-Pédro2-1Nouadhibou
- Oct 18, 2026Sidama Bunna0-2Al Hilal Omdurman