Fountain Gate vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Liti Stadium, Singida
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Fountain Gate. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fountain Gate vs Simba?
Simba is a heavy favourite: 1,995 Elo points against 1,486, a 509-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fountain Gate vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fountain Gate
4-3-3- 22S. Said
- 20A. Athuman
- 27Hashimu Kindemile
- 9C. Obasi
- 60S. Mgunda
- 49J. Mwansasu
- 15D. Mukombozi
- 6O. Awara
- 29J. Shiga
- 19A. Mtambi
- 18I. Parapanda
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fountain Gate have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Simba have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fountain Gate wins, 1 draw, 5 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Fountain Gate 0-3 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Simba 3-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Fountain Gate 1-1 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Simba 4-0 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Simba 3-1 Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Fountain Gate 1-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Fountain Gate vs Simba on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fountain Gate score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fountain Gate | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fountain Gate sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (4 points from 7 matches) and Simba sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 21 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Fountain Gate vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fountain Gate vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Fountain Gate.
- Where and when is Fountain Gate vs Simba played?
- Fountain Gate vs Simba is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Liti Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.