Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pecara, Široki Brijeg
The Footlab AI model makes Siroki Brijeg the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Čelik. The most likely score is 1-1. If Siroki Brijeg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
On Elo ratings, Siroki Brijeg has 1,589 points and Čelik 1,547.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Siroki Brijeg
4-3-3- 11David Virgili
- 10F. MatiÄ
- 80Mario Mourelo
- 77R. Marijanović
- 90Tomislav Tomić
- 8Mario Kordić-Gružić
- 5B. Markovina
- 2Mateo Barać
- 26M. Oršolić
- 30I. Kraljevic
- 51I. Puljić
Čelik
4-2-3-1- 99Anes Mašić
- 14A. Hrvanović
- 8Andrés Mohedano
- 88F. Gogić
- 18O. Šarkić
- 4Kenan Horic
- 24H. Šabanović
- 17A. Omic
- 4K. Horić
- 19N. Smajlovic
- 1A. Å utkoviÄ
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siroki Brijeg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Čelik have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(away) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Velež(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 2-3 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 1-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zrinjski(home) | 0-3 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 3-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(away) | 2-3 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Siroki Brijeg wins, 2 draws, 2 Čelik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Čelik 1-2 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Čelik 2-0 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 22, 2019 | Siroki Brijeg 0-1 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
| May 25, 2019 | Čelik 1-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Čelik 1-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Siroki Brijeg 6-0 Čelik | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Čelik vs Siroki Brijeg on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siroki Brijeg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Čelik score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Čelik | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siroki Brijeg sit 4th in Premijer Liga (13 points from 10 matches) and Čelik sit 6th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Čelik | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Siroki Brijeg the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Čelik.
- Where and when is Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik played?
- Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pecara, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.