Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rođeni, Mostar
The Footlab AI model makes Velež the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for BSK Banja Luka. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Velež vs BSK Banja Luka?
Velež starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Velež vs BSK Banja Luka
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Velež
3-5-2- 19M. Rahimić
- 32B. Tatar
- 80N. Stojanović
- 10D. Salcin
- 77A. Bešagić
- 6Rafidine Abdullah
- 11A. Mesic
- 13A. Omerović
- 5M. Abdallah
- 8A. Hrkać
- 1F. Ribić
BSK Banja Luka
4-3-3- 7N. Keranovic
- 20Z. Kvržić
- 49S. Marčetić
- 22D. Čavić
- 14O. Radosevic
- 32J. Ljubić
- 30D. Čulina
- 5C. Diouf
- 26N. Runic
- 55S. Marjanović
- 31Srđan Modić
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Velež have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; BSK Banja Luka have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zrinjski(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(away) | 1-3 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 4-4 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 1-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 3-2 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Velež wins, 0 draws, 1 BSK Banja Luka win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka 2-0 Velež | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: BSK Banja Luka vs Velež on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Velež score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSK Banja Luka score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velež | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| BSK Banja Luka | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Velež sit 10th in Premijer Liga (8 points from 9 matches) and BSK Banja Luka sit 6th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
| 10 | Velež | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Velež vs BSK Banja Luka?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Velež vs BSK Banja Luka?
- The Footlab AI model makes Velež the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for BSK Banja Luka.
- Where and when is Velež vs BSK Banja Luka played?
- Velež vs BSK Banja Luka is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rođeni, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.