Siwelele vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Siwelele. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siwelele vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,029 Elo points against 1,698 — a 331-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siwelele have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Magesi(home) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 3-2 | 8 Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Siwelele win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mamelodi Sundowns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 7-4 Siwelele | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Siwelele 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siwelele score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siwelele | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siwelele sit 14th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 3 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siwelele vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Siwelele.
- Where and when is Siwelele vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Siwelele vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.