Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk
The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ska-khabarovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Ska-khabarovsk (1,724) and Arsenal Tula (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ska-khabarovsk have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Arsenal Tula have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 2-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veles(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC UFA(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Veles(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ska-khabarovsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Arsenal Tula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-3 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 3-1 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Arsenal Tula 1-0 Ska-khabarovsk | First League |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Ska-khabarovsk 1-1 Arsenal Tula | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ska-khabarovsk score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Tula score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ska-khabarovsk | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Arsenal Tula | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ska-khabarovsk sit 17th in First League (3 points from 7 matches) and Arsenal Tula sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Ska-khabarovsk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
- The Footlab model makes Arsenal Tula the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Ska-khabarovsk.
- Where and when is Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula played?
- Ska-khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.