Ural vs FK Neftekhimik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ekaterinburg Arena, Ekaterinburg
The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for FK Neftekhimik. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ural vs FK Neftekhimik?
Ural starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,897 vs 1,692).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ural vs FK Neftekhimik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ural
3-5-2- 97I. Ishkov
- 10M. Sekulić
- 6F. Sungatulin
- 22Léo Cordeiro
- 59E. Kharin
- 99B. Fourrier
- 17V. Karapuzov
- 16Ítalo
- 15D. Tikhiy
- 2S. Begić
- 57A. Selikhov
FK Neftekhimik
3-4-2-1- 12E. Mukba
- 8D. Sukhomlinov
- 38V. Aleynikov
- 85I. Pyatkin
- 19L. Sharifullin
- 96N. Vasilyev
- 15A. Bondar
- 6N. Pechenkin
- 24A. Kakhidze
- 22I. Khomukha
- 1A. Golubev
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ural have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FK Neftekhimik have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Veles(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leningradets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 2-4 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Ural wins, 2 draws, 1 FK Neftekhimik win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik 0-1 Ural | First League |
| Nov 15, 2025 | FK Neftekhimik 1-0 Ural | First League |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Ural 1-1 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Ural 3-2 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | FK Neftekhimik 1-1 Ural | First League |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs Ural on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ural score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; FK Neftekhimik score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ural sit 3rd in First League (31 points from 16 matches) and FK Neftekhimik sit 17th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
A question about Ural vs FK Neftekhimik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ural vs FK Neftekhimik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ural the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for FK Neftekhimik.
- Where and when is Ural vs FK Neftekhimik played?
- Ural vs FK Neftekhimik is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ekaterinburg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.