FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,796) and Chelyabinsk (1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leningradets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FC UFA win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chelyabinsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC UFA 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| May 19, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 0-0 FC UFA | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 7, 2024 | FC UFA 2-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA on Nov 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 7th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab model makes FC UFA the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk played?
- FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.