FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetBoom Аrena, Ufa
The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Chelyabinsk. The most likely score is 1-1. If FC UFA wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate FC UFA (1,780) and Chelyabinsk (1,784).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC UFA
4-4-2- 88M. Ageyan
- 70D. Ortíz
- 8S. Isaev
- 6Z. Tarba
- 9D. Lipovoy
- 11M. Yakuev
- 14I. Agapov
- 2V. Cherov
- 43A. Gilyazetdinov
- 5D. Kutin
- 31A. Belenov
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1- 7I. Safronov
- 55G. Borisov
- 29M. Urvantsev
- 18K. Kertanov
- 6S. Makarov
- 77D. Samoylov
- 15K. Kochiev
- 21A. Berdnikov
- 50V. Lystsov
- 24N. Pridava
- 93I. Tuseev
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC UFA have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Chelyabinsk have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 4-2 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC UFA win, 2 draws, 2 Chelyabinsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelyabinsk 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Nov 10, 2025 | Chelyabinsk 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FC UFA 0-0 Chelyabinsk | First League |
| May 19, 2024 | Chelyabinsk 0-0 FC UFA | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
| Apr 7, 2024 | FC UFA 2-0 Chelyabinsk | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
Last archived meeting: Chelyabinsk vs FC UFA on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chelyabinsk score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chelyabinsk | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC UFA sit 9th in First League (18 points from 13 matches) and Chelyabinsk sit 12th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC UFA | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 18 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 15 |
A question about FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC UFA the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Chelyabinsk.
- Where and when is FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk played?
- FC UFA vs Chelyabinsk is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetBoom Аrena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.