Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl'
The Footlab model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nizhny Novgorod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Shinnik Yaroslavl (1,856) and Nizhny Novgorod (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shinnik Yaroslavl have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Nizhny Novgorod have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Nizhny Novgorod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Nizhny Novgorod | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-3 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Nizhny Novgorod 3-0 Shinnik Yaroslavl | First League |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-3 Nizhny Novgorod | First League |
| Oct 30, 2019 | Nizhny Novgorod 4-4 Shinnik Yaroslavl | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shinnik Yaroslavl score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 6th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod?
- The Footlab model makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nizhny Novgorod.
- Where and when is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod played?
- Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Nizhny Novgorod is played on May 15, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Shinnik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.