Skive vs VSK Århus: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hancock Arena, Skive
The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Skive. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skive vs VSK Århus?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Skive (1,697) and VSK Århus (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skive have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; VSK Århus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Thisted FC(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Odder(away) | 3-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Naestved(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fremad Amager(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | tst Fodbold(away) | 6-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HIK(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Skive win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 VSK Århus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Skive 1-1 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | VSK Århus 0-1 Skive | 2. Division |
| Jan 30, 2026 | VSK Århus 0-2 Skive | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Skive 1-1 VSK Århus | 2. Division |
| Sep 13, 2025 | VSK Århus 1-1 Skive | 2. Division |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Skive 1-0 VSK Århus | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Skive score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VSK Århus score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skive | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| VSK Århus | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skive sit 6th in 2. Division (6 points from 4 matches) and VSK Århus sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Skive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skive vs VSK Århus?
- The Footlab model makes VSK Århus the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Skive.
- Where and when is Skive vs VSK Århus played?
- Skive vs VSK Århus is played on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hancock Arena, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.