Naestved vs Roskilde: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)MTM Service Park, Næstved
The Footlab AI model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Naestved. The most likely score is 1-1. If Roskilde wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naestved vs Roskilde?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Naestved (1,700) and Roskilde (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naestved vs Roskilde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naestved
Not enough data to predict the Naestved lineup.
Roskilde
4-3-3- 9M. Veltz
- 15M. Freitag
- 12F. Engqvist
- 77B. Aðalsteinsson
- 6N. Zachariassen
- 10M. Carlson
- 2M. Juhl
- 5M. Lysholm
- 19V. Montell
- 27F. Howald
- 30B. Pená
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naestved have 4 wins, 10 draws and 1 defeat; Roskilde have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Nykobing FC(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Middelfart(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Fremad Amager(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Thisted FC(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Skive(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Thisted FC(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | HIK(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 5-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brabrand(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Naestved wins, 2 draws, 0 Roskilde wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Roskilde 2-2 Naestved | 2. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Roskilde 0-1 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Naestved 0-0 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Roskilde 2-3 Naestved | 2. Division |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Naestved 1-0 Roskilde | 2. Division |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Roskilde 1-2 Naestved | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Naestved score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Roskilde score 2.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naestved | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 5/15 |
| Roskilde | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naestved sit 6th in 2. Division (16 points from 11 matches) and Roskilde sit 2nd (21 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Roskilde | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Naestved | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Naestved vs Roskilde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naestved vs Roskilde?
- The Footlab AI model makes Roskilde the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Naestved.
- Where and when is Naestved vs Roskilde played?
- Naestved vs Roskilde is played on October 30, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at MTM Service Park, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.