Skjervøy vs Strømsgodset II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Lerøy Stadion, Skjervøy
The Footlab model makes Skjervøy the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Strømsgodset II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skjervøy vs Strømsgodset II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Skjervøy (1,521) and Strømsgodset II (1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skjervøy have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Strømsgodset II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fløya(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ulfstind(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alta(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Skedsmo(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromsø II(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Finnsnes(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Skjervøy win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Strømsgodset II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Strømsgodset II 5-1 Skjervøy | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Skjervøy 2-3 Strømsgodset II | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Strømsgodset II 4-3 Skjervøy | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
Last archived meeting: Strømsgodset II vs Skjervøy on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skjervøy score 1.7 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Strømsgodset II score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skjervøy | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Strømsgodset II | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skjervøy sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (20 points from 16 matches) and Strømsgodset II sit 9th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Strømsgodset II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 20 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skjervøy vs Strømsgodset II?
- The Footlab model makes Skjervøy the favourite at 51%, against 20% for a draw and 29% for Strømsgodset II.
- Where and when is Skjervøy vs Strømsgodset II played?
- Skjervøy vs Strømsgodset II is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Lerøy Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.