Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)TUIL Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 57%, against 17% for a draw and 26% for Ulfstind. The most likely score is 2-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II?
Lillestrøm II starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,574 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulfstind
Not enough data to predict the Ulfstind lineup.
Lillestrøm II
Not enough data to predict the Lillestrøm II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulfstind have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Lillestrøm II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Finnsnes(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alta(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bossekop(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 1-6 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tromsø II(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alta(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ulfstind wins, 0 draws, 1 Lillestrøm II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Lillestrøm II 10-1 Ulfstind | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Lillestrøm II vs Ulfstind on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulfstind score 1.4 and concede 3.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lillestrøm II score 3.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulfstind | 1.4 | 3.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Lillestrøm II | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulfstind sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (15 points from 23 matches) and Lillestrøm II sit 9th (28 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lillestrøm II | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 71 | 58 | 28 |
| 14 | Ulfstind | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 81 | 15 |
A question about Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lillestrøm II the favourite at 57%, against 17% for a draw and 26% for Ulfstind.
- Where and when is Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II played?
- Ulfstind vs Lillestrøm II is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at TUIL Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.