Match

SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa

SKRA CzęstochowaGórnik Polkowice

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Górnik Polkowice (1,839).

SKRA Częstochowa win45 %
Draw23 %
Górnik Polkowice win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Górnik Polkowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Warta Gorzów(away)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Kluczbork(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Rakow II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026SKRA Częstochowa 0-3 Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 19, 2025Górnik Polkowice 4-1 SKRA CzęstochowaIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 16, 2022SKRA Częstochowa 2-2 Górnik PolkowiceI Liga
Oct 3, 2021Górnik Polkowice 0-0 SKRA CzęstochowaI Liga
May 3, 2021Górnik Polkowice 2-1 SKRA CzęstochowaII Liga - East
Nov 7, 2020SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Górnik PolkowiceII Liga - East

Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15
Górnik Polkowice2.32.1311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Górnik Polkowice522111108

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice?
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice.
Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice played?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SKRA Częstochowa and Górnik Polkowice

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