SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Górnik Polkowice (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Górnik Polkowice have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Górnik Polkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | SKRA Częstochowa 0-3 Górnik Polkowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Górnik Polkowice 4-1 SKRA Częstochowa | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 16, 2022 | SKRA Częstochowa 2-2 Górnik Polkowice | I Liga |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 0-0 SKRA Częstochowa | I Liga |
| May 3, 2021 | Górnik Polkowice 2-1 SKRA Częstochowa | II Liga - East |
| Nov 7, 2020 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-3 Górnik Polkowice | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Górnik Polkowice | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Górnik Polkowice | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Górnik Polkowice.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Górnik Polkowice is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Stal BrzegvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 14, 2026KluczborkvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 14, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 14, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 14, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 14, 2026Warta GorzówvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 14, 2026Sparta KatowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 14, 2026SłowianinvsBarycz Sułów