Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,682).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Odra Bytom Odrzański | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
- Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsGórnik Polkowice
- Nov 14, 2026Stal BrzegvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 14, 2026KluczborkvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 14, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 14, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 14, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 14, 2026Warta GorzówvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 14, 2026SłowianinvsBarycz Sułów