Match

Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta KatowiceOdra Bytom Odrzański

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Odra Bytom Odrzański. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?

Sparta Katowice starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,832 vs 1,682).

Sparta Katowice win59 %
Draw24 %
Odra Bytom Odrzański win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Odra Bytom Odrzański have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Odra Bytom Odrzański
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Warta Gorzów(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Miedź Legnica II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Kluczbork(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Rakow II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Odra Bytom Odrzański score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15
Odra Bytom Odrzański1.31.157/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Odra Bytom Odrzański sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Odra Bytom Odrzański54016112
5Sparta Katowice53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Odra Bytom Odrzański.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański played?
Sparta Katowice vs Odra Bytom Odrzański is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sparta Katowice and Odra Bytom Odrzański

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