Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odra Bytom Odrzański(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carina Gubin(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Warta Gorzów 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 31, 2025 | Warta Gorzów 3-2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 14, 2024 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Warta Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Warta Gorzów 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Gorzów | 0.9 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Warta Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
- Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsGórnik Polkowice
- Nov 14, 2026Stal BrzegvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Nov 14, 2026KluczborkvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 14, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 14, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 14, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 14, 2026Sparta KatowicevsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 14, 2026SłowianinvsBarycz Sułów