Match

Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta GorzówKarkonosze Jelenia Góra

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).

Warta Gorzów win46 %
Draw26 %
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Górnik Polkowice(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Barycz Sułów(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Carina Gubin(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-5III Liga - Group 3
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Górnik Polkowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Barycz Sułów(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Carina Gubin(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026ROW Rybnik(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home)0-0III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Gorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Warta Gorzów 3-1 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 31, 2025Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 31, 2025Warta Gorzów 3-2 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3
Nov 9, 2024Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
May 14, 2024Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1-1 Warta GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 21, 2023Warta Gorzów 1-1 Karkonosze Jelenia GóraIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów0.91.467/157/15
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1.71.449/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Karkonosze Jelenia Góra5221638
10Warta Gorzów5221688

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on November 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Warta Gorzów and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

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